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  • Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie (2017)

  • Duration
    89 mins
    Genre
    Action, Animation, Comedy, Family.
  • In Cinemas
    June 1, 2017
    Language
    Norsk, English, Nederlands.
  • Country
    United States of America.
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Plot For Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie

‘Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie’ is a movie genre Action, was released in June 1, 2017. David Soren was directed this movie and starring by Kevin Hart. This movie tell story about Two mischievous kids hypnotize their mean elementary school principal and turn him into their comic book creation, the kind-hearted and elastic-banded Captain Underpants.

DIRECTOR

David Soren.

Writer

Nicholas Stoller, Dav Pilkey.

Production Company

DreamWorks Animation, Scholastic Entertainment.

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Watch Movie Online Get Out (2017)

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  • Get Out (2017)

  • Duration
    104 mins
    Genre
    Mystery, Thriller, Horror.
  • In Cinemas
    February 24, 2017
    Language
    English.
  • Country
    United States of America.
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Plot For Get Out

Movie ‘Get Out’ was released in February 24, 2017 in genre Mystery. Jordan Peele was directed this movie and starring by Daniel Kaluuya. This movie tell story about Chris and his girlfriend Rose go upstate to visit her parents for the weekend. At first, Chris reads the family’s overly accommodating behavior as nervous attempts to deal with their daughter’s interracial relationship, but as the weekend progresses, a series of increasingly disturbing discoveries lead him to a truth that he never could have imagined.

DIRECTOR

Jordan Peele.

Producer

Sean McKittrick, Jason Blum, Jordan Peele, Edward H. Hamm Jr. .

Writer

Jordan Peele.

Production Company

Blumhouse Productions, QC Entertainment, Monkeypaw Productions.

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  • xXx: Return of Xander Cage (2017)

  • Duration
    107 mins
    Genre
    Action, Adventure, Crime.
  • In Cinemas
    January 13, 2017
    Language
    English.
  • Country
    United States of America.
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Plot For xXx: Return of Xander Cage

‘xXx: Return of Xander Cage’ is a movie genre Action, was released in January 13, 2017. D.J. Caruso was directed this movie and starring by Vin Diesel. This movie tell story about Extreme athlete turned government operative Xander Cage comes out of self-imposed exile, thought to be long dead, and is set on a collision course with deadly alpha warrior Xiang and his team in a race to recover a sinister and seemingly unstoppable weapon known as Pandora’s Box. Recruiting an all-new group of thrill-seeking cohorts, Xander finds himself enmeshed in a deadly conspiracy that points to collusion at the highest levels of world governments.

DIRECTOR

D.J. Caruso.

Producer

Neal H. Moritz, Jeff Kirschenbaum, Joe Roth, Samantha Vincent, Vin Diesel.

Writer

F. Scott Frazier.

Production Company

Paramount Pictures, Revolution Studios, One Race Films, Rox Productions, Maple Cage Productions.

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  • War for the Planet of the Apes (2017)

  • Duration
    140 mins
    Genre
    Drama, Science Fiction, War.
  • In Cinemas
    July 11, 2017
    Language
    English.
  • Country
    Canada, United States of America.
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Plot For War for the Planet of the Apes

Movie ‘War for the Planet of the Apes’ was released in July 11, 2017 in genre Drama. Matt Reeves was directed this movie and starring by Andy Serkis. This movie tell story about Caesar and his apes are forced into a deadly conflict with an army of humans led by a ruthless Colonel. After the apes suffer unimaginable losses, Caesar wrestles with his darker instincts and begins his own mythic quest to avenge his kind. As the journey finally brings them face to face, Caesar and the Colonel are pitted against each other in an epic battle that will determine the fate of both their species and the future of the planet.

DIRECTOR

Matt Reeves.

Production Company

Chernin Entertainment.

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  • The Fate of the Furious (2017)

  • Duration
    Genre
    Action, Crime, Thriller.
  • In Cinemas
    April 12, 2017
    Language
    English.
  • Country
    United States of America.
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Movie ‘The Fate of the Furious’ was released in April 12, 2017 in genre Action. F. Gary Gray was directed this movie and starring by Vin Diesel. This movie tell story about When a mysterious woman seduces Dom into the world of crime and a betrayal of those closest to him, the crew face trials that will test them as never before.

DIRECTOR

F. Gary Gray.

Producer

Michael Fottrell, Neal H. Moritz, Vin Diesel.

Writer

Chris Morgan.

Production Company

Universal Pictures, Original Film, One Race Films.

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  • Rings (2017)

  • Duration
    Genre
    Horror.
  • In Cinemas
    February 1, 2017
    Language
    English.
  • Country
    United States of America.
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Plot For Rings

‘Rings’ is a movie genre Horror, was released in February 1, 2017. F. Javier Gutiérrez was directed this movie and starring by Matilda Anna Ingrid Lutz. This movie tell story about Julia becomes worried about her boyfriend, Holt when he explores the dark urban legend of a mysterious videotape said to kill the watcher seven days after viewing. She sacrifices herself to save her boyfriend and in doing so makes a horrifying discovery: there is a “movie within the movie” that no one has ever seen before.

DIRECTOR

F. Javier Gutiérrez.

Producer

Walter F. Parkes, Laurie MacDonald.

Production Company

Paramount Pictures, Vertigo Entertainment, Macari/Edelstein, Parkes+MacDonald Image Nation, Waddieish Claretrap.

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Retirement planning and life expectancy

In some ways, retirement planning is all about achieving the second of the following two outcomes:

  1. Running out of money before one runs out of time, or
  2. Running out of time before one runs out of money.

The time aspect of the equation deals with life expectancy.  An adequate retirement plan may become wholly inadequate if one lives an extra ten years. On the other hand, a much more luxurious retirement could be experienced if one correctly anticipates a relatively short life span.

Thus, having a good grasp of life expectancy is a critical component of retirement planning.  In answering this question, one can consider using some or all of the following tools:

SOcial Security Administration

The simplest of tools can be found on the website of the Social Security Administration.  The Life Expectancy Calculator provides an estimate of the number of remaining years one can expect to live based on one’s gender and birth date.  The estimate considers only the average results of a particular gender/age cohort.  It does not contemplate one’s healthy or unhealthy lifestyle.  It also ignores one’s genetics (e.g., did your mother and father die early?).

The Life Expectancy Calculator is a start but not a great answer.  It gives a single point estimate when a range of values is probably more useful.  For example, there is about a 50% chance one will live longer than the average life expectancy.  If that happens, then one wants to know by how many years one will outlive the average.  One extra year?  Five?  Twenty?  The Life Expectancy Calculator does not answer these questions.

The Social Security Administration’s Actuarial Life Table may help.  For example, according to the table a male of exactly 70 years has a 2.3528% chance of dying in the next year.  This also means a 97.6472% chance of living for more than one year.  A person with good math skills should be able to work out the probabilities of living to each age, up to the maximum of 119 on the table.  Like the Life Expectancy Calculator, the Actuarial Life Table does not consider the unique circumstances of an individual (e.g., the life expectancy implications of genetics and lifestyle choices).

John Hancock

John Hancock offers its own Life Expectancy Calculator.  This calculator may offer a more customized estimate of life expectancy because it accounts for a person’s unique circumstances, such as:

  • height
  • weight
  • blood pressure
  • cholesterol
  • exercise habits
  • alcohol consumption
  • driving habits

 

Do REIT valuations offset the tax advantages of REITs?

We believe that the stock market generally does not make widely available any “free lunches.”  From time to time low-risk, high-return opportunities may appear but they are rare.  In that light, we wonder whether the tax advantages of REITs are impounded in, and offset by, higher valuations on REIT shares. This is an impossible-to-answer question, but one that is worth considering.

We start with the idea that – all things otherwise being equal –  a higher stock price today means a lower expected long-term return in the future.  Over a sufficiently long time horizon, a stock is worth the present value of all the dividends it is expected to pay in the future.  If the present value of the expected dividends have not changed, then paying a higher price today simply reduces the expected rate of return.

In a highly competitive market for investment ideas, one should not expect that stocks with similar levels of expected risk should offer approximately the same levels of expected return.  Assuming the same level of expected risk, if stock A is expected to offer a higher return than stock B, investors would be expected to buy stock A and to sell stock B.

Buying and selling causes stock prices to move.  As we asserted earlier, over the long term, the higher a stock price today, the lower the expected future return. Contrariwise, the lower a stock price today, the higher the expected future return.

Thus, if the income tax code grants REITs a special tax advantage, we would expect the stock market to account for that advantage in the form of a higher stock price, which would have the effect of reducing the expected return of the REIT.  Stock market participants should bid up the price (and reduce the expected future return) until the REIT has the same expected future return as a taxable company with the same risk.

What we are reading on 3/21/2017

Here’s what we are reading today. We do not necessarily agree with the opinions expressed therein and we disavow any actual or implied investment advice therein. In no particular order:
An update on the permanent portfolio
The Dirtiest Word In Finance: Market Timing
Are universities becoming daycare centers?
Does skew mean anything?
How much upside does tax-loss harvesting offer?
A look at interval funds
The U.S. is ‘over-stored’
Being busy versus being productive
Time to thing globally?
Loud noises are worse for your hearing than earlier thought.
Fatty food makes a comeback
Simple stress reduction techniques.
People seem to think of themselves as nicer than they really are.
Maybe you don’t need to improve yourself.
Be careful if you depend on a public pension scheme.
Use car prices appear to be rolling over
Kansas’ experiment with tax cutting isn’t going so well
Hussman’s latest

Overconfidence

Overconfidence is a well-established cognitive bias.  Investors need to understand how overconfidence affects investment decision making. For the investor, overconfidence manifests itself in several different ways.

Overconfidence may lead investors to believe that their past investment returns exceed what they actually achieved.  The obvious solution is to perform accurate return calculations.  In practice, coming up with meaningful return calculations is much harder than one might think. When return calculations are either inaccurate or non-existent, the overconfident investor fills up the information vacuum with a rosy, distorted view of the past.  Overconfidence may lead one to focus on the investments that did well while ignoring the poor performers.

Outside of investments, one can see such overconfidence in the public as a whole:  the average American considers himself an above average automobile driver.

Overconfidence may also manifest itself in an unwarranted belief that one has a correct, accurate and truthful understanding of an investment opportunity.  Sometimes, the more an investor “knows” about an investment, the more confident the investor becomes in his assessment of the investment’s prospects even if the “information” has little relevance. The investor’s confidence about his ownership of a company soars as he progresses from understanding value and momentum to memorizing its product line, visiting each of its field offices and interviewing sales trainees.

This form of overconfidence can also be seen in the paper industry analyst who gets promoted to portfolio management.  Paper stocks are cyclical and not a significant share of the stock market.  Therefore, a portfolio manager could ignore them most of the time:  if he is wrong and they go up, they are unlikely to move the market so much that the portfolio’s returns will suffer (the same cannot be said for other sectors such as technology or health care).  But the former-paper-analyst-turned-portfolio-manager will face constant temptation to own them because he “knows” the paper stocks so well.

One can protect against the dangers of knowing too much about an investment by deciding, in advance, what information best predicts future returns and ignoring all other information.